Poll: Clinton, Trump in virtual dead heat in Michigan

Real Clear Politics deems Michigan a toss-up state

Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, third presidential debate
Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump during the third presidential debate at UNLV in Las Vegas, Wednesday, Oct. 19, 2016.

LANSING, Mich. (WOOD) — Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are virtually tied in Michigan, a new EPIC-MRA poll commissioned by the Detroit Free Press shows.

A total of 600 people were surveyed between Nov. 1 and Nov. 3. When asked who they would vote for, 42 percent of those surveyed said they sided with Clinton; 38 percent went with Trump, making the race a tie when you factor in the 4 percent margin of error.

Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson lost votes, dropping from 9 percent in late October to 5 percent on Friday. Jill Stein’s numbers also slumped slightly, from 3 percent to 2 percent.

poll_president_epicmra_110416

MICHIGAN MORE VALUABLE

That means the 13 percent of undecided voters in Michigan are even more valuable to both campaigns, which are sending more surrogates to the state in the several days leading up to the election.

>>Inside woodtv.com: Complete coverage of Decision 2016

The race to the White House is wide open when it also comes to the Electoral College. Real Clear Politics switched Michigan to a “toss up” state shortly after Friday’s poll was released, leaving 166 votes up for grabs. Clinton currently holds 208 Electoral College votes to Trump’s 164 votes. The candidate who captures at least 270 Electoral College wins the White House.

poll_rcp_electoral_map

BATTLE OF UNPOPULAR OPTIONS

Both Clinton and Trump were not favorites among the majority of voters surveyed by EPIC-MRA. A total of 61 percent had a negative opinion of Donald Trump and 55 percent said they viewed Hillary Clinton unfavorably.

Those perspectives also reflected in how they voted. While more people said they were voting for a candidate because they favored them, 37 percent said they were voting for Trump because they opposed Clinton, and 29 percent said they were voting for Clinton because they opposed Trump.

ELECTION EXCITEMENT

The race is just as tight among absentee voters. Of those surveyed, 9 percent said they already voted for Clinton and 8 percent picked Trump. One percent voted for Johnson.

A total of 42 percent said they were very enthusiastic about voting in the election; a quarter said they were not excited at all.

PEOPLE BEHIND THE NUMBERS

Of those surveyed, 80 percent identified as white. A total of 36 percent described themselves as conservative, followed by moderate (34 percent) and liberal (20 percent). However, 42 percent identified as Democrat, compared to 36 percent as Republican.

A total of 49 percent said women should have the right to decide if they should have an abortion while 45 percent said they were against abortions except to save the life of the mother.