Snow conditions report: Jan. 19, 2018

Snowfall forecast Monday January 22 through Tuesday January 23rd.

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This will mark the second weekend that you’ll have to travel a good distance north if you want to snowmobile. We did replace some of the snow that melted last weekend but the next January thaw is about to commence. Downhill skiers: per usual, you’ll be alright. Cross country skiers and those of you who enjoy snowshoeing will have to search a little harder to find good snow.

Michigan snowcover

Snowmobilers will have to hike it to the U.P. once again this weekend. There are still good trail conditions being reported from the M-28 corridor to the north along the Lake Superior shoreline. This would include Brimley, Newberry, McMillan north to Grand Marais and Munising. Currently, 99 percent of the state is covered with snow (which will soon change) with an average snow depth of 6.9 inches. As you can see on the map below, the vast majority of that is across the Lake Superior snowbelt region.

Snow depth Southern Lower Michigan
Snow depth Northern Michigan

The maps above will change by the end of the weekend with mild temperatures forecasted throughout the region. So if you do want to cross country ski or walk through the woods in the snow, I recommend doing it earlier in the weekend as opposed to the end of the weekend.

High temperatures Saturday
High temperatures Sunday

I typically do a weekend snowfall forecast but not this weekend, as there is no measurable snow to forecast. We’ll have to wait until after the weekend for a storm to pass through the Great Lakes. At this point, it appears it will slide through Northern Lower Michigan near the Straits. Snowfall will shift if the track of the low shifts. Initially, it will be rain early Monday, with snow expected across the central and western U.P. A transition to all snow will occur on the backside of it.

Below is the preliminary snowfall forecast.

Snowfall forecast: Monday, Jan. 22 through Tuesday, Jan. 23rd.
Snowfall forecast: Monday, Jan. 22 through Tuesday, Jan. 23.
Snow forecast through Jan. 28.
Forecast high temperatures for the next 8 days

It appears we will enter a warmer stretch of weather over the next two to three weeks.

Temperature outlook: Jan. 26 to Feb. 1
Forecast temperature anomaly: Jan. 28 to Feb. 7
Temperature anomaly: Feb. 6 to Feb. 17

The overall mean temperature will average warmer than normal, but you can sometimes still get a renegade snow storm. It appears a cold and snowier weather pattern will arrive again sometime in mid-February.

Storm Team 8 Chief Meteorologist Bill Steffen posted in his blog about the three-month temperature forecast — and it appears this spring will be cold. Stay tuned.


Matt Kirkwood’s Snow Conditions Report is sponsored by Harvey Automotive.