Risk of a Tornado Today (Thu.)

This map shows the risk of a tornado today within 25 miles of a given point.  There is a 5% risk of that in SE Michigan today and a 2% chance essentially east of US 131.  SPC says:  ” Scattered showers/isolated thunderstorms are forecast during the morning within the warm conveyer from northern IN/OH into Lower MI.  Renewed thunderstorm development is expected by early-mid afternoon…Model forecast soundings vary considerably in hodograph size in whether low level flow veers, which would reduce the risk for a tornado, or if surface-500 m flow can remain relatively backed augmenting the tornado risk.” This is…