day1otlk_1200

Marginal Risk of Severe Weather

  7 am – nice batch of non-severe t-storms over the area (esp. G.R. and MKG areas)…lightning, light to occasionally heavy rain).   Lower Michigan is in the (dark green) Marginal Risk Area for a severe t-storm today (so, not impossible, but not likely).  SPC says:  “WEAK LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION MAY GENERATE TSTM ACTIVITY DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AS VEERED LLJ FOCUSES ACROSS WI INTO NRN LOWER MI…IT/S NOT REAL CLEAR HOW SEVERE THIS EARLY-DAY CONVECTION WILL BE BUT HAIL/GUSTY WINDS COULD CERTAINLY BE NOTED WITH THE MODESTLY SHEARED UPDRAFTS. THESE STORMS SHOULD PROGRESS INTO LOWER MI BY MID…