Only 3 counties remain in the Winter Storm Warning…that’s Ottawa, Allegan and Van Buren. Kalamazoo, Oceana and Mason Counties have been downgraded to an advisory. The Warnings and Advisories end at 10 am. Snowshowers are now mainly west of a line from Hart to Spring Lake to Allegan to just north of Sturgis. Another 1-3″ of additional snow could fall west of that line for the rest of tonight and later today. Inland just a few flurries. The warning and advisory will expire at 10 am. Keep in mind that winter warnings and advisories go by county and in situations like this, not everyone in the county gets Warning or Advisory criteria snow. The heaviest snow in Ottawa Co. will fall near Holland and you are not going to see 6-12″ of snow in Marne. Here’s GRR radar. We should warm up late next week with a day or two above 40 possible toward the end of the week.
Quick model update: The European model takes the 850mb temp. for G.R. down to -26 early Sat. AM – that’s pretty cold air! That model has about 3 1/2″ of snow coming late Tues. night into Weds. and then rain and temps. approaching 50 on 2/20. Way to early to pin that down. For Saturday AM, the NAM has a temp. of 7 with a 15 mph wind for G.R. and the GFS has 4 for a temp. with a 10 mph wind. Either way…that’s cold.
New Snow: 14″ near Fennville and near Allegan,10″ Bloomingdale and Onekema, 9″ Alamo (NW Kalamazoo Co.), near S. Bend IN and east of Pullman, 8″ Kaleva (Manistee Co.), 7″ S. Bend, Sumnerville (Cass Co.), Edwardsburg, 6″ Holland, Pullman, Hamilton, 5″ Allegan, Scottville, Ludington, 4″ Paw Paw, Pine Grove (Van Buren Co.), Suttons Bay, 2″ Kalamazoo, dusting in G.R. The most new snow I could find in the U.P. was 16″ at Carlshend in Marquette Co. Snow on the ground: 21″ Mancelona, 20″ Lake Ann, 13″ Lake City.
This is for significant snow showers with NW flow over Lake Michigan, enough wind for drifting snow and slippery roads. Here’s NCEP forecast snowfall thru Friday AM (G.R. 3″, Muskegon 7″, S. Haven 14″). The heaviest snow over the next 5 days will likely be along the lakeshore south of Holland. I think Allegan, Van Buren, Berrien and W. Cass Counties might get the most snow, which would be in the 6-16″ category. Inland areas will get much less snow, but enough to turn the ground white and cause slippery spots on the roads. Here’s the GRR NWS forecast discussion. Here’s local radar and regional radar. There will also be snow east of US 127 from the low pressure system with some enhancement from Lake Huron. There was a Winter Weather Advisory for the Thumb Area (east of Saginaw and Flint) for 3-7″ of new snow. There was a Winter Storm Warning for NW Lower Michigan (Wexford, Benzie, Manistee, Leelanau and Grand Traverse Counties) for up to a foot of new snow. Finally, there is a Lake-Effect Snow Warning for the Western U.P. and the Keweenaw Peninsula where up to 10″ of snow is likely. There were Gale Warnings for Lake Michigan. Arctic air from Weds. through Sunday…coldest day Saturday, which could very well be the coldest day we’ll see this winter. Arctic air rules this weekend from the Great Lakes and Northeast into the Mid-Atlantic states.
This is the GRR NWS impact map, which looks pretty good. I can’t say exactly where the heaviest snow will be…but Allegan, Van Buren and Berrien County should see heavier snow, along with Oceana Co. north to Leelanau Co. The least snow will be in he middle of the state along US 127.
Snow on the ground: 48″ Painesdale (in the U.P.), 40″ Atlantic Mine, 38″ near Hancock, 36″ Ironwood, 27″ Grand Marais, 24″ Marquette (airport) and Ishpeming, 21″ Mancelona, 20″ Munising and Lake Ann, 19″ E. Jordan, 18″ Fife Lake, Rogers City and Benzonia, 17″ “Gaylord, East Jordan, 15″ S. Ste. Marie and Newberry, 14″, 13″ Lake City, 11″ Cheboygan and Traverse City, 10″ Houghton Lake and Onekema, 9″ Alpena, Alamo and Iron Mt., 8″ Kavela, 7″ Manistique and Mullet Lake, 6″ Holland, Scottville, 4″ ‘Reed City and Hart and 2″ Big Rapids, 1” Grand Ledge and Lansing. Paradise, Washingon reports 141″ of snow on the ground (nearly 12 feet!). They do keep the parking lot clean at Paradise (like during daylight only).
Also: Snow and wind in Georgia. 360-degree view of Mars from the Rover. The water level of Shasta Lake, the biggest reservoir in California, was up 7″ yesterday and is up 57.8 feet in the last 4 weeks. Cool, breezy and dry for Mardi Gras in New Orleans – afternoon temps. in the low 50s. Record high of 88 on Mon. at Los Angeles. Here’s high temps. from Mon. Warm in the West – high temps: 85 Phoenix AZ, 84 San Diego, 82 Ukiah CA (record high), 77 Brookings OR, 73 San Francisco, 59 Seattle. It was cool in Florida – here’s low temps. Mon. AM: 29 Tallahassee, 32 Gainesville, 34 Jacksonville, 37 Orlando, 39 Sarasota, 40 Clearwater. Meanwhile in Alabama: Brian Peters is out snow flurry chasing this morning. Here is the live stream: https://youtu.be/WKW1uniBKlg. (guess gas is cheap…chasers have to chase!). Radar shows snow on the East Coast.
The high temp. has been less than or greater than 40 on 6 of the last 10 days. We have had 11 days in 2016 with high temps. in the low-mid 40s. Over the last 33 days, we’ve had just 12.5% of possible sunshine. Season snowfall as of 5 pm Weds: Muskegon 46.6″, Kalamazoo 39.0″, Grand Rapids 27.9″, Lansing 21.4″.
Happy Birthday to the National Weather Service. Interesting article here on how rare is thundersnow. Nashville TN looking like Siberia. WOW, LOOK AT THIS…VERY STRONG WINDS TOSSING AROUND THE CHAIRS ON A SKI LIFT IN THE ALPS (SWITZERLAND?). More wind damage in Europe. Really cool lightning seen from space. Gigantic dust devil in Australia. Snow in Alabama this AM. NYC hasn’t reached zero in 22 years…they’ve got a chance Sunday AM. WOW! Look at this wave!! Bald eagle not thrilled with this weather pattern. Peak winds in Europe. DON’T DO THIS!!
Check out this wave…and this wave…ice in Anniston, Alabama. Very strong winds on the island of Corsica. Strong winds cause coastal flooding in Europe. Satellite view showing the lake-effect clouds. Heavy lake-effect snow in Allegan Co. Another pic. of snow in Allegan Co. 12″ new snow in Allegan Co. Tornado! Debris! GIANT waves push cars around in Croatia. Shenandoah Mountain sunset. Sunset in Boulder CO.