Chance of a Shower or Storm

Central Great Lakes sector loop   SPC HAS UPGRADED SE MI, NE IN AND NW OH INTO AN ENHANCED SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREA FOR THIS PM. They say:  “Severe storms capable of producing damaging winds, hail, and perhaps a tornado or two will be possible across parts of the lower Great Lakes region into the Ohio Valley this afternoon and early evening. Wind profiles will be mostly unidirectional southwesterly, except near the warm front over southern lower MI where larger 0-1 km hodographs will persist. Effective Bulk shear should range from 30-45 kt supporting organized multicells and a few supercells. Damaging wind and large hail will be the main threats, but a couple of tornadoes will be possible, especially over southern lower MI.”

1 pm – AMAZING FRONT…from north of Holland Airport to Lansing.  At 1 pm…in the 70s south of the front…55 in G.R., 44 in Big Rapids and Cadillac reports light snow!  Wind at Holland is SW at 17, wind in G.R. is NE at 9 (nice convergence).  Showers and storms from the SW corner of the state to north of Lansing.  They will move east.  Best chance of a severe storm now is east of a line from Kalamazoo to Lansing.  Some pockets of sun along and south of I-94 where the best instability will be. The Southeast 4 counties in Lower Michigan, along with far NE Indiana and N. Ohio will have the best instability for strong storms.  Not much chance of severe from G.R. to the west and north.   

We’ve already had over an inch of rain in Holland and Sparta,, nearly an inch in Muskegon and Mt. Pleasant…0.57″ at the Ford Airport in G.R.  Additional rain will cause ponding of water on roads and cause creeks and rivers to have additional rises.  We’ll track it for you on TV and online.

To report hail or severe weather to Storm Team 8 – call 1-800-8WOODTV or send an email to newsroom@woodtv.com and bill.steffen@woodtv.com.  From early this AM:  Gust to 65 mph at Big Sable Point near Ludington, 59 mph near Pentwater, 48 mph at Whitehall, 45 mph at the Muskegon Beach. Some wind damage occurred near Manistee.  We had 1″ hail near Blanchard (Isabella Co.) and Kingsley (south of Traverse City   Severe weather that occurred from 1:51 am to 3:22 am EDT in Wisconsin:  Gust to 59 mph at Burlington WI (near Racine), 56 mph at Sullivan (west of Milwaukee), wind damage at Waukesha (west of Milwaukee), Cudahy and St. Francis WI.   1″ hail fell at Sheboygan and Plymouth WI.    Also:  Pea-sized hail Fruit Ridge and Four Mile Rd. – Alpine Township – also Comstock Park, at Ludington and at Michigan and College in G.R.

We have a chance of a shower or t-storm during the early morning..and again later today (mainly southeast of G.R. during the afternoon.  Here’s a summary of the severe reports from NE Indiana and NW Ohio.   Mirage at Lake Michigan.  Chicago skyline upside-down.  Cool layer near the water causes this…most common in April and early May.  Fighting frost in Chablis.

Also:  Reeds Lake water temperature sensor is back in the water…2-foot depth…temp. was 53 Thurs. AM.  kp-index at 5 at 1 am – sometimes good enough here in W. Michigan for a view of the green aurora to the north.  Pretty cloudy here, though.  1.91” of rain fell in Cleveland on Wednesday, which is over half of the normal monthly rainfall in April (3.49”).  Pic. of 2″ diameter hail NE of Fort Wayne INAnother pic. of large hail.    Beautiful pictures of blossoms in N.YNeat time-lapse of clouds in UtahNice picture of Hoover DamSlo-mo lightning in PortugalCool storm time-lapse from Reed TimmerUnder Paris skiesMammatus clouds in TurkeyNear blizzard in Romania.  If this happens it would be incredible!  More snow in Austria.  Heavy snow in BosniaSnow in Hungary.  Warm here, but cold over much of EuropeHeavy snow in Poland.  Another pic. of snow in PolandLandslide in Columbia, 11 fatalities, 20 missing.  Cool snow shower in RussiaRain does make a differenceSmall tornado in Austria.  Translation: “A snorkel was photographed

Links: Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar, Milwaukee radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar, Regional radar, the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. Here’s College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map, the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. Here’s the 84-Hour snow forecast from the NAM model and the 120-hour snow forecast from the GFS model. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan ski conditions. Cool U.S. satellite loop.

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