Tropical Depression Irma – Mon. Night Update

Irma has been downgraded to a tropical depression with peak winds of 30-35 mph. The center of the circulation is in E. Alabama moving toward W. Tennessee.  Here’s current surface observations from Georgia, Alabama, S. Carolina, N. Carolina, Tennessee and Florida.   The Atlanta area has picked up over 2″ of rain in 6 hours.  Here’s some 24-hour rainfall totals as of 8 pm Monday:  5.92″ Alma GA, 5.35″ Charleston SC, 4.76″ Savannah GA, 3.53″ Augusta GA, 2.92″ Atlanta GA. Here’s a long list of damage reports from GA.  Atlanta had a gust to 64 mph and Macon clocked 60 mph.  There were two fatalities in GA from falling trees at Buckhead and Coal Mt.

  Here’s a satellite pic. showing the large area of clouds in the SE U.S. associated with Irma.  Some thin high clouds are already up into Indiana.  BTW, you can also see a couple of thunderstorms in the Desert SW and just off the California coast.

Fastest wind gust measured:  435 PM HURRICANE 2 ENE NAPLES 26.15N 81.77W   09/10/2017 COLLIER FL MESONET  WIND GUST OF 142MPH AT MESONET SITE NPLMP- NAPLES MUNICIPAL AIRPORT.  A 130 mph gust occurred on Marco Is. 122 mph gust was reported at Lely.    I don’t know how high these weather stations are above the ground.  The Orlando Airport had a gust to 79 mph. A cell tower was toppled by the wind in in Fort Myers.  25 fatalities were reported with Irma – inc. 5 in Florida.

cone graphicThe eye passed just east of Tampa and is headed NNW toward SW Georgia, then Alabama.  What’s left of Irma should eventually be just some showers in Indiana.

  Here are some peak wind gusts today….and more:  gusts in mph: 112 Quail Creek Estate, 109 N. Perry Airport, 100 Lely,  99 St. Lucie Nuclear Power Plant, 98 Carol City, 94 Cape Canaveral and Smith Shoal, 93 Playalinda Beach, Alligator Reef, Matacumbe Key and Carysfort, 92 Molassas Reef, Ochopee and Belle Meade, 91 Cache, 90 Fowey Rocks,  89 Clearwater Beach, 88 Islamorda, 87 Moore Haven and Port Everglades, 86 Sebring and Deerfield Beach, 85, Key Largo and Opa-Lopcka, 83 Cocoa Beach and Cutler Bay, 82 Bartow and Pinecrest,  81 Sarasota (20 ft.), Fort Myers, Longboat Key, Haulover Canal, 80 Shark Key, 79 Orlando, Arcadia, Venice, 78 Fort Lauderdale, Sanibel Is., Florida City, Daytona Beach, 77 Palm Beach, 76 Tampa Bay buoy, Punta Gorda, 75 Oakland Park, Flagler Beach, St. Petersburg, Alligator Reef, Deerfield Beach and Davie, 74 Fort Pierce, 72 Sanford and Brunell, 71 St. Augustine and Pompano Beach, 70 Hobe Sound and Smyrna Beach. 69 Melbourne, 67 Winter Haven, Fort Lauderdale,  Kissimmee,  and Okeechobee, 66 Jensen Beach and Barefoot Bay, 65 Cape Coral, 63 DeLand.

16.01″ of rain fell at Fort Pierce on the East Coast with 14.5″ at Melbourne.  Merritt Is. had 7.5″ of rain in 4 hours.  St. Cloud had 6.75″ in 11 hours.  I-4 was flooded.  Other rainfall totals from Florida:  St. Lucie 15.84″, Lake Mary 12.46″, Cape Canaveral 12.08″, Sanford 11.66″, The Villages 11.09″, Jacksonville 10.01″ – record flooding in downtown Jacksonville from a   Here’s current weather observations from S. Florida.  A number of stations are not reporting due to power outages, etc.  Here’s weather observations from Cuba.  Here’s a link to radar images from Cuba.  Here’s Key West NWS facebook, Tampa NWS facebook and Miami NWS facebookCrane spinning in the wind in Miami.   Strong onshore wind causes sea level to rise (storm surge)…strong offshore wind causes sea level to fallSix-day satellite loop of hurricanes in the Atlantic.

WW0485 RADAR Thumbnail Image   A number of tornadoes have been reported with Irma.  There is a Tornado Watch out for southern SC this Monday evening  Tornadoes from Irma: – near Miami, at Fort Lauderdale Beach, near the Fort Lauderdale Airport, near Homestead Park, Wilton Manors, Wauchula, Indiatlantic and at Oakland Park.  A tornado damaged a tavern at Eustis FL and a waterspout was sighted at Jekyll Is. GA.

There were 3 active hurricanes at one time on Friday.  The last time this happened was 2010.  The graphic at the top is the estimated starting time of tropical storm force winds (40 mph).   The National Hurricane Center has established back-up personnel at the Weather Prediction Center in College Park, Maryland, in case of major telecommunication failures in FL by Irma.  Disneyworld remains closed until Tuesday.  The City of Marco Island issued a mandatory evacuation order.  This is the first time that 3 consecutive storms in the Atlantic have reached Category 4.  Where do birds go when a hurricane approaches? Early Monday AM, we have 3.4 million customers are without power, including most of Key West.  Power crews waiting in AL to restore power after the storm. S. Florida airports closed Sat. eveningCuba weather observations.  This is the 11th day that Irma has been a hurricane.  She’s technically a “grandma”.

Hurricane Jose is following Irma on a slightly more northern track.  It did reach category 4 status for awhile.  It has brought a period of high winds and heavy rain to the Northern Antilles (same area hit by Irma), before moving northwest and then north.  Then it just meaders around for much of this coming week.  The projected path of the storm will keep any strong winds from Jose offshore of the U.S. over at least the next 5 days.  Here’s the Public Advisory and the latest Discussion on Jose.cone graphic

This is the forecast track for Irma – Irma had winds of 180 mph for 36 hrs (click on the picture to enlarge) – No other Tropical cyclone around the globe has been this strong for so long in satellite era (since 1966).  Peak winds with Irma are 120 mph as I write this…but Irma did weaken a bit as it hit the Cuban coast.   States of Emergency have been declared in FL, GA, SC and NC.  An evacuation order has been in effect for Miami Beach, Savannah and for the Florida Keys.  A Hurricane Warning is now in effect for most of. Florida.  Here’s radar from eastern Cuba and radar for Florida.   Gov. Scott has ordered all Florida public schools to close Monday.

Often when a hurricane is moving up the East Coast, it’s partly to mostly sunny in Lower Michigan and that has been the case.  However, it’s possible that the cloud shield could come back as far north as West Michigan and it’s not totally impossible that a period of light rain or sprinkles could occur back this far to the west either late Tues. night or on Weds. with the best chance of a light shower along the Indiana border.

Here’s the Public Advisory and the latest Discussion on Irma.  Here’s a link to the Bahamas Weather Service…and a link to radar images from Cuba.

Southeast sector loop  Here’s Southeast Regional Radar.  The first bands of showers and storms have been coming into S. Florida.

Also:  CNN reporting from Cuba in the hurricane.  The Florida Marlins did have some damage to their roof.

Hurricane Katia made landfall in eastern Mexico.  It brought heavy rain and flooding.

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