The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the lakeshore counties that will run from 1 AM Weds. to 7 PM Thursday. The Advisory is for 4-7″ of new snow (local high total of 11″) with slippery roads along with some blowing and drifting snow. Inland areas will get 1-4″ of snow. We also have the Wind Chill Advisory for Van Buren, Kalamazoo, Calhoun and Jackson Counties to the south until 1 pm. A west-southwest wind means the air in these counties may not be crossing Lake Michigan and picking up some added warmth from the lake. We also have a Gale Watch for Lake Michigan for waves to 14 feet and wind gusts to 45 mph. The wind could break up or move around ice on Lake Michigan.
Model Data: The overnight run of the GFS model gives G.R. high temps. of 19 today, 17 on Weds., 13 on Thurs. and Fri. and 18 on Sat. The NAM has highs of 21 today and 18 tomorrow. I do think we get back to 30 Sunday and/or Monday of next week. We’ll be a few degrees warmer today, but wind chills could actually be colder with a west-southwest wind increasing to 15-20 mph. We could see a gust to 30 mph today. These winds will cause drifting and some blowing snow.
Look at the high temperature map for Monday. Glasgow, Montana had a high temp. of -19 and that was after a morning low temp. of -40! Other low temps. in Montana: -46 at Circle Cow Creek, -44 at Opheim and -43 at Four Buttes. Hettinger ND dropped to -45. The cold air pushed deep into the south, with a high temp. of just 39 at McAllen, Texas and 35 at New Orleans. The high was just 39 at Jacksonville FL – while farther south, Miami was still in the warm air with a high of 80. Monday’s high of +1 in Chicago made it the coldest New Year’s Day ever (previous record was +5).
The latest 8-14 day outlook goes to the middle of the month (Jan. 15) and the Great Lakes are still locked into a colder than average pattern. From Dr. Judah Cohen: “Break up the Climate Forecast System (CFS)! Latest runs predict three straight months of ridging near Alaska and troughing in eastern North America, which would result of three more months of the same – warm in the West and cold in the East. Rare to see such model persistence”.
Also: Check out the map of record low temps. If you were watching the Rose Bowl or Rose Parade yesterday and saw the nice weather there…Pasadena had a high/low of 73/50 on Monday. Deep low pressure system off the New England Coast will cause snow and strong winds. It will also pull down very cold air across much of the Eastern U.S. Tonight’s full Moon is the biggest and brightest of 2018. The full moon of Jan. is called the Wolf Moon. Timelapse of moonrise. Tonight’s supermoon over the Lincoln Memorial. January and March have two full moons this year…February as none. Waterskiing in Minnesota with the temperature below zero! Video of ice moving down the Missouri River in Omaha. I’ve been camping here before, but not when it’s zero degrees! Ice in New Orleans. Lakes icing over near Memphis. Fireworks over the snow of Breckenridge CO. Coldest New Year’s Day in Atlanta since 1928. First sunrise of the year at the Washington Monument. At 7 am Sunday – the AVERAGE temperature in the contiguous U.S. was 11 degrees! Wind turbine destroyed! Frost flower in Alabama. Gas pumps freezing up. Hundreds of British holidaymakers had to sleep in their cars and on the floors of schools and gymnasiums after heavy snow across the Alps caused chaos.
I have two fresh weather stories below this one…an update on Great Lakes ice cover and a wrap-up of December weather in Michigan, so…read on if you have the time.