Winter Storm Warning for up to 24″ of snow!

Central Great Lakes sector loop Radars here should update automatically.  A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for Allegan and Van Buren Counties until 7 am Saturday (extended 1 day with the Thur. AM update) and for Berrien and Cass Counties until 7 pm Friday.  There is also a Winter Weather Advisory in effect for the lakeshore counties from Ottawa County north to Wexford and Grand Traverse Counties.   The G.R. NWS says:  “…PERSISTENT LAKE-EFFECT SNOW BANDS NEAR US-31 WITH THE BIG AND LITTLE SABLE POINTS AND EXTREME WESTERN VAN BUREN AND ALLEGAN COUNTIES. THOSE AREAS COULD SEE 2 FEET OF SNOW BY FRIDAY.”  –  The N. Indiana NWS says:  “…snow accumulations of 12 to 16 inches, with localized amounts up to 20 inches.  There is also a Winter Storm Warning out for St. Joseph and La Porte Counties in Indiana and an Advisory for Elkhart, Porter and Marshall Counties in Northern Indiana.   Very little snow (less than an inch is expected east of the main band, which includes Kent Co. and areas to the northeast and east of Kent Co.  ‘There is also a Wind Chill Advisory in effect until noon for generally areas east of US 131 (does not include Kent, Barry or Kalamazoo Counties).

Snow fell as far south as N. Florida, on Weds. with a mix of freezing rain and sleet.  Farther south, it was a cold rain with 1.15″ at Orlando and 1.08″ at Daytona Beach.  Winter Haven was 45 and heavy rain with a west wind at 20 mph. I-10 was closed in two places in NW FL due to ice on the road.  Florida State University had a light dusting of snow on the ground. Snow will continue up the Atlantic Coast to Maine.  Farther west, the temp. this morning dropped to 11 in Fort Worth TX (Alliance Arpt.) and 20 at Victoria TX.

This is the S. Haven Channel at mid-morning Weds

.  The Great Lakes now have a 23% ice cover.  Many side streets and rural oads in MI are snow-covered and slippery.  Snow depth this (Wed.) PM:  3″ Lansing, 8″ Grand Rapids, Saranac, Paw Paw and Mecosta, 9″ in Kalmazoo, 15″ Muskegon.

We’ve had 9 days in a row with temps. below 20 degrees and we’re likely to add 3 more to bring this Arctic Blast to 2nd place on the list..    We have had Gale Warnings in effect, though there is now a substantial amount of ice in some lakeshore areas that would prevent the biggest waves from reaching the shore.  The S. Haven Lighthouse had a gust to 53 mph.

Here’s the Lake Michigan satellite pic. from Tues. PM.  It was partly to mostly sunny with a west-southwest wind.  That wind direction made quite a difference…air that crossed Lake Michigan was much warmer than air that did not. On the other side of the lake, Chicago (O’Hare) had a high temp. of 7.  By the time that air got to the S. Haven Beach – it had warmed up 10-15 degrees.  The high at the beach at S. Haven was 19, at the Muskegon beach it was 21.  It got colder the farther south you went.  Grand Rapids had a high of 19, Kalamazoo had a high of 12, Sturgis had a high of 6 and South Bend, Indiana had a high of 2.  Lafayette IN had a low temp. of -19 – that was 38 degrees colder than average!  The average wind speed in Lafayette thru 5 pm was 5 mph – so those wind turbines were not generating a lot of electricity on a day with high demand due to the cold.  And…more to come.  Dr. Ryan Maue says:  “extremely dangerous cold from brutal wind chills will wreck the Midwest and Northeast during day Friday into Saturday.”  The GFSX model has the strong wind here next Sunday.

Here’s snowcover as of Tues. evening:  4″ Lansing and Grand Ledge, 5″ Jackson, 6″ Rockford, Alpena and Iron Mt., 7″ Grand Rapids, Mecosta, S. Bend, St. Ignace and Houghton Lake, 8″ East G.R., 9″ Plainwell, W. Cloud, Paw Paw and Manistique, 10″ Kalamazoo, 11″ Cadillac and Grandville, 13″ S. Ste. Marie and Fife Lake, 14″ Boyne Falls, Beulah, Gaylord and Harbor Springs, 15″ Newberry, 16″ Tahquamenon Falls and Holland, 17″ Muskegon, Allendale and Maple City, 18″ Traverse City, Benzonia, Hart and Munising, 19″ E. Jordan, 20″ Charlevoix, 21″ Houghton, 22″, Mancelona and Delaware, 26″ Dollar Bay, 32″ Redridge, 34″ Grand Marais, 35″ Painesdale and Tamarack.   Season snowfall at Painesdale is up to 172.5″.  41.2% of the contiguous U.S. had snow on the ground Tues. AM.

Model update:  High temps. for the next 7 days off the GFS:  17, 12, 12, 15, 35, 34, 20.  The NAM for the next 3 days has 23, 16, 13.

AlsoDogsledding!   Car going thru “canyon” of snow in 1949Times lapse from a ship in Lake Superior. Nice pic. of the full moon. The tornado track is still there!   Awesome sundogs“Ice dunes” at Lake Michigan (be careful!).  Lookin’ for heat at WalMartHuge fire in NYC with injuries“Donut hole” over Arkansas1-2″ snow for Savannah GA?  Boston has been below 20 deg. for 7 days.  The last time that happened was over 100 years ago.  it’s the coldest start to a year ever in Altoona PA.  Frozen bubble in Canton GA.  There were 40 global hurricanes in 2017 of which 20 became major (Category 3+) … the last 50-year avg & median is 47 | 22.  Globally, it was another below average year for tropical storms.  Here’s a map of low temps. Tues. AM – coldest was -36 at Malta, Montana. 32% of the U.S. was below zero F Tuesday AM.  Nope, wouldn’t drive thru thisSnow for Africa.  Ice at Mobile Bay!  Fargo ND was below zero for 4 1/2 days.  That’s the longest stretch for them since 2004.  Sunday’s meso-low over S. Lake MichiganAnother huge multi-vehicle crash on an expressway…slow down during a snowstorm!  75 cars involved in the pile-up near Buffalo, one fatality, 12 injured.   Bangor ME broke a record with 5 consecutive days with high temps. below +5.  Awesome sundogsIce balls on Lake MichiganIce covered Delaware Bay.  Dozens of record low temps. set Tues. AM.  Here’s what a supermoon can do. It’s a little breezy in the U.KSupermoon high tide plus strong onshore winds = coastal flooding.

This is a satellite shot of Lake Erie Tues. PM – note the ice in western Lake Erie, where it’s sunny.  The lake-effect clouds form when the cold air hits the open water.

Links: Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar, Milwaukee radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar, Regional radar, the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. Here’s College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map, the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. Here’s the 84-Hour snow forecast from the NAM model and the 120-hour snow forecast from the GFS model. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan ski conditions. Cool U.S. satellite loop.

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