mcd0778

No Severe Weather in W. Michigan

  4:10 pm – The graphic above is a mesoscale discussion from the Storm Prediction Center.  It’s for SE MIichigan, NW Ohio and NE Indiana.  Heres’s what they say:  “PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE…20 PERCENT.       SUMMARY:   THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY AT LEAST SOME SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. THE NEED FOR A WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED…BUT TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. DISCUSSION…THUNDERSTORMS INITIATED ALONG AN APPARENT LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE ZONE…NORTHEAST OF FORT WAYNE THROUGH THE MICHIGAN THUMB AREA. ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE DOES NOT APPEAR PARTICULARLY STRONG…INHIBITION FOR A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER CHARACTERIZED BY…